Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#232
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#203
Pace66.2#242
Improvement+1.2#127

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#242
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#279
Layup/Dunks-2.6#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#190
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement+1.1#126

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#226
First Shot-2.8#254
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#81
Layups/Dunks+0.9#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#343
Freethrows+2.8#25
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 21.0 - 4.01.0 - 9.0
Quad 33.0 - 4.04.0 - 13.0
Quad 49.0 - 5.013.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 138   @ Texas St. L 57-67 20%     0 - 1 -5.0 -6.0 +0.2
  Nov 16, 2018 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-77 2OT 50%     0 - 2 -9.0 -11.0 +2.9
  Nov 18, 2018 226   South Dakota W 65-62 48%     1 - 2 -0.6 -7.4 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2018 236   High Point L 62-69 51%     1 - 3 -11.4 -3.4 -8.9
  Nov 24, 2018 65   Colorado L 56-93 20%     1 - 4 -32.1 -15.7 -14.1
  Nov 28, 2018 172   Missouri St. W 88-69 48%     2 - 4 +15.5 +17.2 -1.0
  Dec 01, 2018 198   @ Pacific L 69-82 33%     2 - 5 -12.6 +5.5 -19.4
  Dec 05, 2018 304   Denver W 73-65 76%     3 - 5 -3.4 -4.4 +1.3
  Dec 08, 2018 242   Army L 61-66 64%     3 - 6 -12.7 -14.6 +2.0
  Dec 22, 2018 6   @ Michigan L 50-71 2%     3 - 7 +1.7 -4.4 +3.9
  Dec 28, 2018 312   UC Riverside W 72-60 77%     4 - 7 +0.0 -0.3 +1.6
  Jan 02, 2019 169   New Mexico L 58-65 47%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -10.4 -16.2 +5.8
  Jan 05, 2019 37   @ Utah St. L 62-79 6%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -3.1 +2.1 -7.0
  Jan 08, 2019 163   @ Colorado St. L 64-87 26%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -20.5 -4.8 -17.6
  Jan 12, 2019 104   San Diego St. W 62-48 28%     5 - 10 1 - 3 +15.9 +0.0 +17.5
  Jan 16, 2019 156   UNLV W 106-88 43%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +15.7 +29.5 -14.0
  Jan 19, 2019 26   @ Nevada L 52-67 4%     6 - 11 2 - 4 +1.2 -14.5 +16.2
  Jan 22, 2019 131   Boise St. W 74-60 35%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +13.9 +4.1 +10.5
  Jan 26, 2019 342   @ San Jose St. W 73-71 2OT 78%     8 - 11 4 - 4 -10.1 -18.5 +8.0
  Jan 30, 2019 104   @ San Diego St. L 51-66 14%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -7.6 -12.6 +4.1
  Feb 02, 2019 163   Colorado St. L 53-85 46%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -35.1 -20.1 -17.1
  Feb 06, 2019 308   Wyoming W 81-76 77%     9 - 13 5 - 6 -6.9 +3.0 -9.9
  Feb 12, 2019 156   @ UNLV L 72-77 24%     9 - 14 5 - 7 -1.7 +4.3 -6.4
  Feb 16, 2019 37   Utah St. L 62-76 13%     9 - 15 5 - 8 -5.7 -4.8 -1.4
  Feb 20, 2019 72   @ Fresno St. W 64-61 10%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +12.8 -6.0 +18.7
  Feb 23, 2019 342   San Jose St. W 82-68 89%     11 - 15 7 - 8 -3.6 -1.0 -3.0
  Mar 02, 2019 308   @ Wyoming W 80-72 59%     12 - 15 8 - 8 +1.7 +12.2 -9.8
  Mar 05, 2019 26   Nevada L 79-90 9%     12 - 16 8 - 9 -0.3 +12.6 -13.1
  Mar 09, 2019 131   @ Boise St. L 52-80 19%     12 - 17 8 - 10 -22.6 -13.5 -12.1
  Mar 13, 2019 342   San Jose St. W 87-56 84%     13 - 17 +16.1 +7.1 +8.8
  Mar 14, 2019 72   Fresno St. L 50-76 15%     13 - 18 -19.0 -15.9 -4.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%